Chandan Sapkota’s Blog

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The real sector data comes from the CBS, which publishes provisional figures well before the financial survey is published usually. The Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) released its annual national account estimate on 5 April 2013, projecting GDP at basic prices to grow at 3.56%, down from 4.48% revised estimate for FY2012 (fiscal year ends on 15 July). The razor-sharp drop in agriculture growth is attributed to the unfavorable monsoon and lack of chemical substance fertilizers during maximum paddy early spring. Forex reserve: Rs 453.6 billion (10.2 a few months of goods the import or 8.7 weeks of transfer of goods and non-factor services).

The annual comparison is more revealing when the entire calendar year fiscal sector, the monetary sector, and exterior-sector data are released around the end of August. Right now, the data is good to see any interesting as well as alarming trends. From the 37 PEs, 15 made income and 21 made reductions. One didn’t do any purchase. 8 PEs that gained revenue this past year made losses this year. The total loss incurred by PEs reached Rs 3.49 billion in FY12, compared to revenue of Rs 6.69 billion recorded a yr earlier. NEA and NOC reported a loss of Rs 9.52 billion and Rs 9.94 billion, respectively, in FY2012. Combined loss is 1.27% of GDP in FY2012.

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The government has decided to pay off the staff of Janakpur Cigarette Factory (Rs 2 billion needed) and is considering doing the same at Nepal Drugs Company to be able to liquidate them. Pension-related responsibilities increased by 25.9% to Rs 21.2 billion from Rs 16.8 billion a yr earlier.

The real source of Capital is not savings, but surplus value. So, whenever over a long period the Rate of Profit goes up faster than the demand for capital rates of interest fall. In the Long Wave Spring we’ve just experienced, interest rates remained low, despite large amounts of set-capital formation, because the rate of income and the volume of profit was sufficient to protect the demand.

However, the onset of the Long Influx Summer months means this mechanism will no longer operate in this real way. Already, we can easily see that some certain areas of high technology production that fueled quality value, high-income sectors no fulfill that function. The most effective personal computers are now low value Even, consumables.

In fact, the latest statistics show PC sales have dropped significantly, as they need to compete with other devices such as tablets, and other mobile devices. But, as prices power, and, therefore, the success of some of these industries starts to wane, so also pressure will rise on costs. Raw material prices fast stop rising so, but the ability to continually use it more efficiently due to repeated changes in technology slows down too. Meanwhile, the same processes cause wages to rise. One means of that arising is likely to be that once cheap consumer goods from China will no longer be so cheap, as other and Chinese workers’ wages rise, and the value of the Chinese language Remnimbi rises also.